Sunday, August 28, 2016

Update on TCI and Next stock

Dear Readers,



We have received several comments and emails about severe fall in TCI stock price on ex-record date of demerger.



Nervousness among retail investors is obvious, especially in those who are experiencing first time demerger process. As per assigned valuation of TCI demerger , it should trade above 230 but it fall below 200 on ex-record date of demerger. Generally this type fall is normal due to high selling pressure during initial few days and it is happening almost in every demerger. For example if you will analyse the recent demerger of Crompton Greaves and Aditya Birla Nuvo, in both cases stock price fall much below assigned valuation of demerger but price gradually moved up  within few months.    



Actually TCI is giving good opportunity to add in the range of 170 -190. If we compare TCI with other peers than its current valuation should be in the range of 270 -290 and it will achieve its actual valuation within year. Your portfolio will be in red only till listing of TCI XPS in next 60 days. Need to hold both stocks at least for 3 years to get actual benefit of GST implementation. 




In the  series of Best Stock Picks next stock will be posted on or before 12.09.2016.






Saturday, August 6, 2016

Jubilant Industry - Back on Track





Jubilant Industries Ltd. is the flagship Company of Agri and Performance Polymers business of the Jubilant Bhartia group.  It is leading producer of Agri and Performance Polymer products comprising consumer products like adhesives, wood finishes, application polymers like emulsion polymers, food polymers and latex such as vinyl pyridine, SBR, NBR latex, Crop Nutrition, Crop Growth, Crop Protection and IMFL. Company  offers broad range of technology based products and solutions to customers in India as well as globally. Over the years, this business has attained a significant size in India and the Company aims at scaling up its business in global markets.


Performance Polymers



Performance polymers are having specific properties like temperature stability, chemical stability, mechanical properties and find wide range of application as given below.


Food Polymers



Jubilant Ind is number one in India and  one of the three major global suppliers of Solid Poly Vinyl Acetate (SPVA). Solid PVA is the major raw material for making gum base for Chewing Gum and bubble gum.






The Product is manufactured at a modern "state of art "manufacturing facility at Gajraula (UP). All grades of PVA have been developed by extensive in-house R&D efforts and technology improvements and conform to international standards and food Grade quality. PVA products are sold under the trade name of VAMIPOL.


All grades of the product comply with the Food Chemical Codex V and US FDA. The products as well as the manufacturing facilities are accredited with ISO 9001, ISO 14001 and OHSAS 18001 certifications. Products and the manufacturing facility are Kosher certified.


Jubilant boasts of a customer profile which includes the market leaders worldwide, in the chewing gum industry. Some of these are - The WM Wrigley Jr. Company, Cadbury (The Kraft foods Company) & Perfetti Van Melle Company. Jubilant is now expanding its portfolio of products in order to have a wider offering of food grade chemicals.


Latex



Jubilant Industry is ranked No. 1 in India and  No. 2 globally for manufacturing VP latex used in dipping of tyre cord and conveyor belt fabric.





Company also produce SBR latex for use in tyre cord fabric. Company is bulk suppliers of these lattices to various tyre OEM's and dippers located globally. NBR latex used in automotive gasket binding applications. VP latex products are sold under the trade name of ENCORD.


These various grades of latex are manufactured in Samlaya. The manufacturing facilities are accredited with ISO 9001, ISO 14001, OHSAS 18001 and REACH certifications.


Consumer Products



The consumer products are sold under brand name of 'JIVANJOR' and it is the second largest brand in the wood adhesive and finishing sector after Fevicol (Pidilite Industries). Jivanjor brand is focused on providing complete range of woodworking solutions ie adhesives & wood finishes, footwear adhesives and epoxy sealants to the customers with nationwide network setup.


Woodworking Adhesives







Jivanjor offers a range of ready to use wood adhesives, which are suitable for most wood joinery purposes. They are very popular and effective assembly adhesives in the woodworking industry. Water based adhesives comprise of All Rounder, Polystic Hero, and Vambond Excel. These are ready to use adhesives which set rapidly at room temperature & offer superior bond strength to users. Jivanjor also offers contact adhesive Champion which is a synthetic rubber based adhesive for exceptional fast drying & vertical lamination. Jivanjor adhesives are available in attractive packaging & in various pack sizes


Footwear Adhesives







Jivanjor offers a range of footwear adhesives suitable for most shoe components bonding purposes. The range of footwear adhesives comprises synthetic rubber based adhesives and the hugely popular two component polyurethane adhesives. The rubber based adhesives, which include RB 1001F, RB 1003, RB 1005 and FOAMBOND find huge popularity with upholsters & footwear manufacturers. On the other hand, the two component polyurethane adhesives, which include PU 2000, PU 2001, and PU 2002, are indispensable raw material for footwear manufacturers. These products guarantee superior bond strength in stringiest conditions.


Epoxy Sealants







Jivanjor offers a wide range of epoxy sealants ideal for any repair job like small crack and leakages in a very short period of time. The variants include Plumber’s seal, Mix n Fix, Fast Seal, White Putty, 10 Minute Putty, Industrial Grade Epoxy and Wet Set. These are uniquely fresh scented and soft enough to be molded into any shape, they have a very short curing time and display exceptional strength once they are fully cured. These can be sanded, drilled, sawed and painted upon to give the desired look. Jivanjor adhesives are available in an attractive packaging & in various pack sizes for convenience in use.


Wood Finishes







Jivanjor offers complete wood finishes system, stains and ancillaries for decoration & protection of wooden furniture. The wood finishes system includes Polyurethane finish, Melamine Non Yellowing finish, Melamine finish, Nitrocellulose finish & PU Alkyd finish. These systems offer exceptional fast drying properties, tough coatings and superior resistance. Jivanjor also offers a wide range of stains that can be mixed to generate unique colours to suit every desire. Jivanjor also offering ancillaries like sealers & thinners required for the purpose of successful application. The finishes systems are supported by technical team which provides intense technical training.


Agricultural Products



Jubilant offers a range of products in crop nutrition, crop growth regulator and crop protection areas under the brand “Ramban”, which is a widely accepted brand in the market. Jubilant is the leading manufacturers of Single Super Phosphate (SSP) in India which is also the largest selling product under the Ramban umbrella.





Crop Nutrition


This category of chemicals primarily aid in root and shoot development and increasing the crop yield. They help to provide conditioning to soil and fight against crop diseases. Jubilant “Ramban” brand is highly regarded in major parts of country by farming community for its quality, consistency and reliability.


RAMBAN SSP (Single Super Phosphate, Granule and Powder)
BENTOSULPH (Bentonite Sulphur 90%)
RAMBAN BHOO SANJEEVANI (Organic Manure)
NUTRA PLUS (Water Soluble NPK)
SULPHA GOLD (Sulphur 90% DP)


Crop Growth Regulator



The chemicals under this category primarily help to improve the strength and resistance of crops and curtail the unwanted vegetative growth, saving time and thus increasing the yield. Jubilant crop growth regulators are being used by the farmers to ensure the right growth of plant by balancing different crop life cycle stage. Jubilant offers product to increase crops growth and balance maturity.


VAM C(Chlormequat chloride 50% SL)
Power Plus 500 – Granules (Triacontanol 0.05% granules)
RIPEX (Ethephon 39% SL)


Crop Protection



Jubilant has a wide range of products that covers different aspects of crop protection. The products are used from seed planting to harvesting stage thus ensuring a secure yield for farmers. During crop complete life cycle plants are being destroyed by insects, pests, weeds & fungus.


Jubilant offers a wide range of products for protection of crops. They are primarily classified as fungicides, insecticides and herbicides.


Fungicides


Fungicides exhibit protective as well as curative action and help to control fungal diseases.

1.Vozim (Carbendazim 50% WP)
2.HEXON (Hexaconazole 5% EC)
3.Vozim Plus (Carbendazim 12% + Mancozeb 63% WP)


Insecticides


Insecticides effectively guard against chewing and sucking insecticides.

IKON (Imidacloprid 17.8%, SL )
CARTEX (Cartap Hydrochloride 4% G)
ALTER (Alphamethrin 10% EC)
CYMAX (Chlorpyriphos 50% + Cypermethrin 5%)
RAIDER (Chlorpyriphos 20% EC)


Herbicides


Herbicides to control unwanted weeds growth.


1.FIRE (Pretilachlor 50% EC )
2.CLODINOX (Clodinofop Propargyl 15% WP)


Industrial Chemicals


Sulphuric Acid H2SO4 98.4%


Sulfuric Acid (H2SO4) is a strong mineral acid. It is a basic raw material used in a wide range of industrial process and manufacturing operations.

SODIUM SILICOFLUORIDE - Na2SiF6 [Technical Grade]

Sodium silico fluoride is formulated for cement additives, glass industries, ceramics and allied industries. It is white amorphous powder that comprises of high grade chloride, phosphate and allied compositions.


Indian Made Foreign Liquor ( IMFL)






Jubilant Industries has been manufacturing IMFL products for the various established brands in India, engaged in liquor business. Total installed capacity is 100,000 cases/month for IMFL. With a configuration of 5 automatic/semi-automatic lines we can handle all sizes of bottles.

All lines are equipped with required Vats for storage of ENA and labeling machines which provides flexibility for bottling various sizes of IMFL. Manufacturing unit at Nira is fully equipped with state of art laboratory to support product quality and standards.


Research & Development






Jubilant's technical expertise and experience enables maximization of efficiencies and profitability. State of art R&D lab is based in Noida with team of qualified scientists work constantly on developing customized solutions for diverse end applications .


Distribution Network and Manufacturing Facilities






Jubilant Industries has geographically diversified manufacturing facilities situated across India at Gajraula (UP), Kapasan (Rajasthan), Sahibabad (UP), Samlaya (Gujarat) and Nira (Maharashtra). Jubilant's consignee warehouses are located on the different  high demand locations to ensure the smooth and efficient supplies.


Investment Rationale



Jubilant Industry was a good profit making company in 2011 with EPS above Rs 35 but the problem started just after entering into retail sector with Total Superstore retail chain in Bangalore. It has started posting losses since 2012 only due to retail business. Last year company has sold its four retail hypermarket stores in Bangalore via slump sale to Aditya Birla Retail Ltd.


http://www.morestore.com/images/Website/Pdf/Press_Release_May_12.pdf

http://www.moneycontrol.com/stocks/reports/jubilant-industries-limited-1491001.html






Jubilant Industry product portfolio is related to chemicals, Agri, construction, food, automobile tires, consumers which are expected deliver high growth rate in future.


Jubilant management has given focus to promote consumer product brand 'Jivanjor' more aggressively to gain further market share by improving brand visibility and expanding distribution footprint pan India. The business will also focus on expanding reach in OEMs and in Project channel. A big chunk of adhesives produced are consumed by plywood, veneers and laminates sector. Indian plywood market is  growing at 7-8 percent and is expected to continue such growth in future. 


Even though woodworking adhesives market is dominated mainly by Pidilite Industry but Jubilant Ind has lot of scope to expand its market share because adhesive industry has been growing at an estimated 9 % per annum in volume terms and at 14 percent per annum in terms of value form last three years. Increased activity in real estate, new construction & renovation is likely to fuel further growth in this industry. 


Wood Finish market is dominated by Asian Paints in retail channel. The end users are upgrading from basic varnish and nitrocellulose finishes to more value added finishes like melamine and PU (Polyurethane) for superior aesthetics and performance. The premium segments are driving rapid market growth and products demand of Jubilant Ind is also increasing at similar rate.  


Quality wise Jubilant consumer products are meeting or exceeding its main peers like Pidilite and Asian Paints.


Performance Polymers business alone generating consistent revenue near 400 crores and net profit above 30 crores. Now with increased focus on Agri and consumer products it will increase profit and margins. 

  

Conclusion



Jubilant Industries has very strong product portfolio with brands like Vamipol (1st in food polymer in India), ENCORD (1st in VP Latex in India),  Jivanjor (2nd largest after Pidilite) and Ramban (4th largest in India) as well as world leadership position in Food Polymer & VP latex segments.  Jubilant has sold loss making retail business to pursue independent growth strategy by concentrating on these growing segments.

Market capital of Jubilant Industry is only 192 crores with annual turnover above 600 crores and expected to post profitable results in coming quarters, it is very good investment opportunity available at low price of Rs 163.